Conscription Archives - Windypundit Classical liberalism, criminal laws, the war on drugs, economics, free speech, technology, photography, sex work, cats, and whatever else comes to mind. Fri, 19 Jun 2015 16:49:54 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.0.4 https://staging.windypundit.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/wpicon-16.png Conscription Archives - Windypundit 32 32 Ron Fournier Hates Freedom https://staging.windypundit.com/2015/06/ron-fournier-hates-freedom/ https://staging.windypundit.com/2015/06/ron-fournier-hates-freedom/#comments Fri, 19 Jun 2015 16:45:04 +0000 https://staging.windypundit.com/?p=9149 Over at National Journal, Ron Fournier thinks a national service program would be a great idea: I know a better way to fight ISIS. It starts with an idea that should appeal the better angels of both hawks and doves: National service for all 18- to 28-year-olds. Fournier thinks this will accomplish two goals Require […]

This post by Mark Draughn at Windypundit was originally published at Ron Fournier Hates Freedom

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Over at National Journal, Ron Fournier thinks a national service program would be a great idea:

I know a better way to fight ISIS. It starts with an idea that should appeal the better angels of both hawks and doves: National service for all 18- to 28-year-olds.

Fournier thinks this will accomplish two goals

Require virtually every young American—the civic-minded millennial generation—to complete a year of service through programs such as Teach for America, AmeriCorps, the Peace Corps, or the U.S. military, and two things will happen:

1. Virtually every American family will become intimately invested in the nation’s biggest challenges, including poverty, education, income inequality, and America’s place in a world afire.

Yes, why allow young people to pursue petty personal goals like getting an education, starting a family, or something totally crass like working for a living, when the government could force them into working on one of Ron Fournier’s favorite projects instead?

And as is usually the case with people who have neat ideas for stuff other people can be “required” to do, Fournier brushes past the details about what will happen to people who refuse to cooperate. What does Fournier propose to do if young people don’t want to give up a year of their lives for this? What if they don’t sign up for the program? What if they never show up for intake? If history is any guide, the plan is probably to send men with guns to snatch them up and lock them in a cage.

“Do this or go to jail!” That’s national service in a nutshell.

2. Military recruiting will rise to meet threats posed by ISIS and other terrorist networks, giving more people skin in a very dangerous game.

The whole point of national defense is that the rest of us can go on about our lives without having skin in any dangerous games.

But apparently Fournier wants us to have a lot of skin in the game, because he clearly regards national service as a political compromise that falls short of what he really wants:

This may seem like a radical plan until you compare it with two alternatives: the status quo, which clearly isn’t working, or a military draft, which might be the boldest and fairest way to wage the long war against Islamic extremists.

Fournier’s argument is the standard liberal argument for conscription:

Also understand that a sustained fight against ISIS would demand a new stream of troops. This country has already asked too much of too few.

The key is asked, not forced. And apparently we have not in fact “asked too much” of the troops because every one of them could refuse, yet they keep answering the call.

Fournier’s appeal for modern slavery includes quotes from the usual suspects, Rangel and McCrystal:

One way to truly level the costs would be to reinstate the military draft and impose a war tax, the cause of liberal New York Democrat Charles Rangel, an 84-year-old Korean War veteran. “When I served, the entire nation shared the sacrifices through the draft and increased taxes, but today, only a fraction of America shoulders the burden,” he said.

First of all, 18-year old males who couldn’t get a deferment is not “the entire nation,” and second, if taxes count as shouldering the burden, then we’re all shouldering the burden now because our taxes pay our soldiers.

Not incidentally, thirty-six thousand Americans soldiers died in Charlie Rangel’s Korean War, and another fifty-eight thousand in the Vietnam war. In the 40+ years since conscription ended, however, fewer than 8000 soldiers have died in our wars. The burden borne by our soldiers is a lot smaller now.

McChrystal is even worse:

Second, if this president or his successor gets serious about ISIS, McChrystal said the effort would require an international coalition and more U.S. troops. “Even if we didn’t need a draft” to drum up the required troops, McChrystal said, “I would argue we need a draft, because it forces national commitment.”

What, democracy isn’t good enough for you? You can’t make a persuasive argument to Congress and get the American people to go along with your plans, so you want to jail anyone who doesn’t want to join your war? Yeah, drafting young men forces national commitment to war like drugging and raping your date forces her to commit to the relationship.

“A problem in America is we’ve let the concept of citizenship diminish into a series of gripes,” McChrystal told me. “One of the ways we can rebuild that sense of ownership, sense of shared ownership, is through experience, and so I believe that every young person deserves—I don’t think this is an onerous thing—deserves the experience of being part of something bigger than themselves.”

There are lots of ways to be part of something bigger than yourself: Work for a company, play a team sport, join a church, start a family. Or join a political movement that aims to keep people like Fournier and McChrystal as far away from the levers of power as possible.

What really blows my mind about Fournier’s position is that he apparently supports raising the minimum wage. For example, he had this to say about an Obama proposal:

He proposed raising the minimum wage from $7.25 an hour to $9 an hour and providing preschool to all 4-year-olds–poll-tested programs that would indisputably help the working poor and rising middle-class.

So…if 18-year-old Johnny graduates from high school and is offered an entry-level job at $8.50 an hour, Ron Fournier thinks it should be against the law, even if Johnny is completely willing to work for that pay. On the other hand, if Johnny refuses to join the Army (which pays about the same), Ron Fournier wants to use threats of violence and incarceration to force Johnny to take that job against his will.

Think about that for a minute. What’s the principle at work here? About all I can come up with is that Ron Fournier hates freedom.

(Hat tip, @Popehat for the pointer to the Fournier piece, and Don Boudreaux for the idea of checking Fournier’s position on the minimum wage.)

This post by Mark Draughn at Windypundit was originally published at Ron Fournier Hates Freedom

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The Unreal Liberal Argument for Conscription https://staging.windypundit.com/2013/05/the-unreal-liberal-argument-for-conscription/ https://staging.windypundit.com/2013/05/the-unreal-liberal-argument-for-conscription/#comments Sat, 11 May 2013 21:45:52 +0000 https://staging.windypundit.com/?p=3772 I’ll always have a warm spot in my heart for the liberal/progressive mindset because I grew up in the immediate aftermath of the 1960’s. The era brought lots of changes for the better — the free speech movement, the expansion of civil rights, Miranda and Gideon — but the one that most vividly affected me […]

This post by Mark Draughn at Windypundit was originally published at The Unreal Liberal Argument for Conscription

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I’ll always have a warm spot in my heart for the liberal/progressive mindset because I grew up in the immediate aftermath of the 1960’s. The era brought lots of changes for the better — the free speech movement, the expansion of civil rights, Miranda and Gideon — but the one that most vividly affected me at the time was the abolition of the draft. I was only 8 years old — too young to have any understanding of war or dying — but just the idea that I could be forced to leave my friends and family to spend years in the army was frightening enough.

Conscription ended in 1973, but the government required young men to continue registering for the draft until the selective service system was shut down in 1976. That period of respect for freedom lasted all of four years, until the Soviets invaded Afghanistan in 1980, and President Carter re-instituted selective service registration to show the Soviets that we were really seriously angry at them. (The fact that the Soviets have since been driven out of Afghanistan and we invaded it ourselves a few years ago would seem to imply that selective service registration is no longer necessary, but nobody listens to me.)

Since then, the United States has become the single preeminent superpower in the world. No other nation comes close. We basically won the war for global domination. And yet there are still those calling for a return to conscription.

Surprisingly to me, these calls come not from war-mongers on the political right, but from the ideological descendants of the same political liberals who so effectively opposed conscription in the ’60’s and ’70’s. I just noticed an example of this from David Sirota at In These Times in an article titled “The Military’s 40-Year Experiment”:

In operations across the globe, the all-volunteer military has been employed by policymakers to birth what Gen. George Casey recently called the “era of persistent conflict.” Four decades later, we therefore have an obligation to ask: How much of the public’s complicity in that epochal shift is a result of the end of the draft?

This is the beginning of a common bring-back-the-draft argument: That the reason we live in a time of seemingly continuous war is that not enough Americans care enough to oppose it, and they don’t oppose it because they know that it would mostly be fought by other people’s children. Bringing back the draft would mean no one was safe from the consequences of war, which would make us think more carefully as a nation before going to war.

(The idea of making things worse to raise public opposition to make them better is not unusual among those seeking social change. The movie Amistad portrays some abolitionists as wanting the Africans to lose in court because it would help build support for abolition, terrorists often hope to incite reprisals from their targets that will serve to send more people into their arms, and both white and black racial separatists in America have tried to foment racial war, each thinking it would rally their race to their side.)

Sirota supports his argument by looking back to the Nixon administration’s thinking about how to end the draft:

[A] look back at some lost history shows that today’s public acquiescence to militarism was exactly what the government wanted when it ended the draft.

That loaded term—“militarism”—was, in fact, a prominent part of the 1970 report by President Nixon’s Commission on an All-Volunteer Force. In its findings, the panel worried about “a cycle of anti-militarism” in a nation then questioning America’s increasingly martial posture.

Noting that “the draft is a major source of antagonism” toward the growing military-industrial complex, the report praised the fact that “an all-volunteer force offers an obvious opportunity to curb the growth of anti-militaristic sentiment.”

Nixon’s commission did devote some empty rhetoric to downplaying “the fear of increased military aggressiveness or reduced civilian concern” about military actions in the event of an all-volunteer force. But the report’s political conclusions were clear: By disconnecting most Americans from the blood-and-guts consequences of war, the end of the draft would “decrease dissent stemming from conscription” and “close one of the channels” of anti-war organizing.

It’s fascinating that people in the Nixon administration thought this, but both theory and history demonstrate that they (and David Sirota) were missing a big part of the picture. Sirota is also proceeding from a false assumption about our history of warfare.

Today, such conclusions read like prophecy. Though polls showed that many Americans opposed the Iraq War, that invasion and occupation was historically unprecedented in length and yet never generated the kind of mass protest that earlier shorter wars evoked.

So Sirota’s evidence of how bloodthirsty we are is that the Iraq War was “unprecedented in length”? This is disingenuous. As I write this, the Iraq war is only a little longer than the Vietnam War (and maybe shorter, depending on when you want to say Vietnam started) and the U.S. death toll is just under 4500. By comparison, the U.S. death toll in Vietnam was more than that in every year from 1966 to 1970. In 1968 alone, almost 17000 American soldiers lost their lives.

Same thing for the Afghanistan War. Same thing for all the forward deployments to far-flung bases and one-off missions.

David Sirota is writing as if we’re living through a time that suffers unprecedented levels of war, but he’s mistaken in that premise. The last dozen years are more violent than the dozen years that preceded them, but we’re still living in a time of relative peace, and the wars we’re fighting are producing relatively few American casualties.

Let’s consider the numbers: The gigantic death toll of World War II would skew the numbers in a way that’s hard to think about, so for the sake of argument let’s set aside those 400,000 dead soldiers and consider the period from the end of World War II to the end of conscription in 1973. In that 29-year period, we had the Korean War, the Vietnam War, and a number of small deployments that lead to the combat deaths of almost 95,000 American soldiers, for an average of a little over 3200 deaths per year.

After conscription ended in 1973, no American solders died in war for the next 6 years. Things got only a little more violent over the next two decades, with about 400 more combat deaths in the ’80’s (mostly Beirut) and the ’90’s (mostly the first Gulf War). Even with the explosion of violence from the War on Terror (6700 U.S. soldiers dead and still counting) the average annual combat death rate for the post-conscription era is only about 200 per year, or 1/16th the rate during conscription.

Even if we accept Sirota’s implied hypothesis that the War on Terror since the 2003 invasion of Iraq represents the new normal, that’s an average death rate of about 670 per year, or about 20% of the rate during conscription. In the worst year of the War on Terror, 2007, we had 1021 combat deaths, still less than one third of the average during conscription. (By comparison, drivers on Illinois highways have become familiar with electronic signs proclaiming that 957 people died in traffic accidents in this state in 2012.)

Yet Sirota is clearly right about Americans being less engaged with the war:

The pattern suggests that in the absence of conscription, dissent—if it exists at all—becomes a low-grade affair (an email, a petition, etc.) but not the kind of serious movement required to compel military policy changes. Why? Because as former Defense Secretary Robert Gates put it, without a draft “wars remain an abstraction—a distant and unpleasant series of news items that does not affect (most people) personally.”

And yet despite this apparent apathy, the statistics show that war casualties are far lower in the post-conscription era. That doesn’t keep Sirota from reaching an idiotic conclusion:

Well-meaning people can certainly disagree about whether a modern-day draft is a good idea or not (and it may not be). But forty years into the all-volunteer experiment, it is clear that ending conscription was as much about giving citizens the liberty to abstain from as about quashing popular opposition to martial decisions. By design, it weakened our democratic connection to the armed forces—a connection that is the only proven safeguard against unbridled militarism.

Ending conscription may have “weakened our democratic connection to the armed forces” as Sirota believes, but judging by the stunning decline in the death toll, there must be something that caused the U.S. to become far less militant.

An economist wouldn’t have a hard time identifying a likely cause. (And conservative economist Milton Friedman was one of the key figures arguing for an all-volunteer military force.) Fewer Americans may have a personal connection to the costs of warfare now that they and their friends and family can’t be drafted, but ending conscription vastly increased the influence of those Americans who care the most about the human cost of our wars: The soldiers themselves.

In market terms, under conscription the price of a soldier’s labor was held artificially low because draftees had no right to refuse the deal and therefore they had no bargaining power. But since the end of conscription, no solder has joined the military against their will. Every single soldier must consent to the risks of combat. And that consent now comes at a much higher price.

A big part of that price has been paid not in salary and benefits but in a reduction in the rate at which soldiers are sacrificed to combat. Just as corporations facing high labor costs will switch to more capital-intensive operations, the increased bargaining power of American solders has forced the U.S. military to invest heavily in equipment and training to make soldiers more effective with less risk.

An all volunteer army isn’t going to put up with shoddy equipment and poor support. They want reliable guns, working radios, GPS guidance, body armor that can stop an enemy bullet, vehicles that can take a rocket hit or an IED, good battlefield intelligence, air support, decent food, medical care, and internet service. There’s a reason it costs over $800,000 per year to put a soldier in Afghanistan, and it isn’t the soldier’s pay.

Note that all this doesn’t mean that the end of conscription increased the cost of warfare. The difference is that under conscription the cost of warfare was unfairly borne by the soldiers, whose labor, safety, and lives were confiscated for the public good. Now that those soldiers’ services have to be purchased at market rates, the cost is more properly borne by the American people on whose behalf they are fighting.

I suppose you could argue that it’s unfair to compare the present low-intensity wars against the major land conflicts in Korea and Vietnam, but I think that just proves my point: The folks who choose our wars are a lot more careful when when they have to pay the full market price for warfighters.

I’m not arguing that the War on Terror is insignificant, but it is a huge improvement on the horrors of the past. And keep in mind that having wars which are “an abstraction—a distant and unpleasant series of news items that does not affect (most people) personally” is a good thing. The alternative is a much higher human cost.

This post by Mark Draughn at Windypundit was originally published at The Unreal Liberal Argument for Conscription

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